Two eulogies

First, for the 2011 Texas Rangers, full of pitching gaffes and managerial woes, but also full of crazy, great baseball moments — like Nelson Cruz’s walk-off grand slam, for example. Or Josh Hamilton’s two-run homer in Game 6, or Mike Napoli’s two-run double in the bottom of the 8th in Game 5, giving the Rangers a 3-2 stranglehold in the series. Or Adrian Beltre’s home run to tie Game 5 in the sixth inning. Or everything else Mike Napoli did.

The St. Louis Cardinals came out strong, and after the absolute madness of Game 6, they outplayed the Rangers to win the World Series fair and square. I do love a good narrative, and the Cardinals’ is among the best – 10.5 games back of the wild card behind the Atlanta Braves, sneaking into the postseason after the greatest baseball day ever (sorry, it was totally still better than Game 6), winning the World Series after being a strike away from losing so many times … it’s a great story, and I’m glad it finished so well.

But I’d love to see the Rangers win one day soon. Two losses in a row isn’t easy, and they’re a fun team to watch when they’re not walking six batters, two with the bases loaded, in Game 7 of the World Series. It was a tough way to go, falling apart at the seams like that – they were dominated by the Cardinals for a large part of the series – but when they win their first championship, it will have been well-earned and long overdue. Shape up and come back swinging, guys — and here’s to a good run.

And second, in a total 180, to Steve Jobs from his sister, Mona. After the amazing outpouring of grief from around the globe, from everyone who had ever used an Apple product and who had been inspired by them, and by him, it was hard not to be a little desensitized. Flowers at a computer store seemed like overkill after a few days, something entirely too first world. This piece is beautiful and human, and I dare you not to tear up when you hit the end. It reminds me of why we need people like Jobs, whether he was a tyrant or not. We need to remember how to imagine all the time, and how to make everything we do count.

[...]He explained that he worked in computers.

I didn’t know much about computers. I still worked on a manual Olivetti typewriter.

I told Steve I’d recently considered my first purchase of a computer: something called the Cromemco.

Steve told me it was a good thing I’d waited. He said he was making something that was going to be insanely beautiful.

I want to tell you a few things I learned from Steve, during three distinct periods, over the 27 years I knew him. They’re not periods of years, but of states of being. His full life. His illness. His dying.

[...] We all — in the end — die in medias res. In the middle of a story. Of many stories.

Hers is one you should read.

Cardinals 10, Rangers 9 (11th)

Photo: Major League Baseball
You’ve got to be kidding me.

Game 6 was like Baltimore vs. Jonathan Papelbon twice. The Rangers found themselves one strike away from winning the franchise’s first World Series ever TWO TIMES, and both times gave up some runs instead. You’d think after getting a second chance they’d be able to do it, but the Cards just could not let it go. I have to hand it to them, even though I was yelling in total disbelief for most of the last three innings.

Also in “WTF”, the Winnipeg Jets beat the Philadelphia Flyers earlier yesterday in another insane display of screw-uppery. The Jets led 5-1 and then 6-2 — until they imploded, with the Flyers tying the game at 6. Then everybody just kept scoring, and Winnipeg’s game-winner came with a whopping 1:20 left in the third. Flyers goalie Ilya Bryzgalov was quoted as saying he was terrible and had no confidence in himself; I’m sure Ondrej Pavelec is only feeling marginally better about life.

Per that article, it was the first time the Flyers have given up 9 goals at home since 1993, when they played … the Winnipeg Jets.

What happened last night?!

Tonight: awesome and terrifying Game 7, manager vs. manager. Nobody’s going to have any bullpen left and Tony La Russa is probably going to try to argue that Mark McGwire can totally pinch-hit for somebody late in the game. Grab some popcorn on the way home.

FINALLY

So I started blogging again and then my server crashed and stayed down for two weeks. Serves me right for not having moved off of that sluggish Windows VPS. But here we are again back up and running (and listening to what is turning out to be a pretty thrilling Game 6 of the World Series so far!).

Looking forward to getting back into things. Thanks for being patient!

The eternal battle for MVP

So I was talking with a friend of mine about the MVP battle yesterday – well, battle in the American League, anyway. As far as I’m concerned, Matt Kemp has the NL MVP all tied up and the Cy Young is gonna be Clayton Kershaw or Roy Halladay, so there’s nothing to worry about. Justin Verlander is clearly winning the AL Cy Young. That leaves AL MVP, the big ol’ debate.

The front-runners are Jacoby Ellsbury (BOS) and Jose Bautista (TOR). To compare them, here’s five sets of stats. They are kind of arbitrary, but they’re the ones that are often thrown around in the AL MVP debate, so I threw them in here. They’re batting average, runs batted in (RBI), home runs, on-base plus slugging (OPS), and wins above replacement (WAR), source Baseball-Reference:

Ellsbury Bautista
Avg .321 .302
RBI 105 103
HR 32 43
OPS .928 1.056
WAR 7.2 8.5

Ellsbury leads in batting average (by 19 points) and RBI (by two). Bautista leads in home runs and the sabermetric stats of OPS and WAR.

It should also be noted that two of Bautista’s leading stats – HR and OPS – are actually the highest in the majors (the highest OPS in the National League was Ryan Braun’s .994, and Curtis Granderson trails in home runs by two at 41).

To me this table alone yells Bautista for MVP. First of all, it’s 2011, and batting average is way less important than sabermetric stats. Batting average doesn’t take walks into account, and Bautista’s walks are astronomical — 132 BB (also leading the majors) versus Ellsbury’s 52. This means Bautista walked an insane 25.7% of the time, while Ellsbury walked 7.8%. Joey Bats did have four times as many intentional walks, but if you factor those out, it comes out to 21% versus 7%. This is a no-brainer.

Second of all, RBI is a flawed measurement. It does measure how well you hit with teammates on base, sort of, but it also measures how well your teammates get on base for you. In Ellsbury’s case, 20 of his homers were solo shots, and 27 of Bautista’s – both coming out to 63%. We’d have to analyze this a bit with the RISP numbers and maybe the preceding plays and I’m not going to do that, but clearly this is a bit of a problematic stat, especially since they’re both obviously great hitters and went over 100 RBI and are still hitting two-thirds of their home runs without anybody else on base.

OPS isn’t a perfect statistic (it weighs slugging and on-base equally, which is awkward) but at least it takes into account reaching base in any way, which I think is vastly more important than looking at RBI in a vacuum. Both of these guys have really high OPS, but Bautista’s (also league-leading) slugging percentage is almost .200 higher than Ellsbury – .608 against .452.

So … Ellsbury was more likely to get a hit in a given at-bat, and ever so slightly more likely to bat in a run. Bautista walked in one out of every four plate appearances (that’s pretty much one walk a game), hit more home runs, hit for more bases, got on base more often, and earned his team one 1.3 more wins. Oh, and he gives one hell of a staredown.

Now that the Boston Red Sox are climbing out of the rubble of the worst September collapse in history, Jacoby Ellsbury no longer has the aura of contending-team edge surrounding his shot for MVP. It’s a ridiculous consideration – good players are good players, even if their teams keep letting them down – but it’s always been a part of the MVP discussion, and one that would undoubtedly have robbed Bautista of a win had the Red Sox won one more game. But now … looking at these numbers, it’s virtually impossible to understand how someone could not pick Joey Bats.

And anyway, how could the award go to someone whose nickname is Tacoby Bellsbury?

Things I like, I

  • Coconut cookies
  • High socks in baseball
  • Animals With Stuffed Animals (as good as it sounds)
  • Letterpress
     
  • This guy:
  • In case you are unsure, on the right you will see a businessman in a very nice navy blue suit, and on the left you will see a businessman in a very nice black pinstriped suit, both walking in the financial district around quittin’ time. Except the guy on the left is also wearing a somewhat beat-up Tilley hat that is slightly too small for his head. I suppose the photograph doesn’t do justice to this guy, who was garnering a lot more grins than he usually does on his Tuesday evening walk, I imagine.

    Toronto. I love ya.

The old ball game

This year was my first season as a baseball fan. I didn’t even catch it at the start of the season – the first Jays game I watched was this one, and I knew so little about the game that I was confused when Casey Janssen came out to pitch the eighth instead of Jesse Litsch, and was really confused when neither of them took the mound the next day (it was Kyle Drabek, I believe). In my mind pitchers were like hockey goalies. You probably had two of them ready to go, right? And they probably pitched every day?

I’ve come a long way since then.

Now I follow a veritable army of baseball bloggers on Twitter and argue with people about WAR and have read Moneyball and seen Moneyball, and despite the fact that I grew up a hockey fan (and still am one, thanks very much, Flames home opener is playing right this very moment) would probably be able to play fantasy baseball one heck of a lot better than I do fantasy hockey. It happens.

It’s already been a bit of a wild ride, but nothing beats September 28th, the final day of the regular season and the night that they’re calling the best day in baseball ever. I am pretty glad I managed to jump on the bandwagon in time to witness September’s madness, culminating in some of the most intense sports drama I’ve ever seen in my life.

If you haven’t watched the MLB recap video just do yourself a favour and watch it right now. I mean now. Look, I’m even posting it here for you.

This is the kind of thing that keeps me coming back to baseball. Coming from hockey, a 162-game season is mind-boggling to me. Add the fact that that many games can still lead to such high drama on the final day of the regular season — a tie in both the American League and the National League for the wild card, a ridiculous comeback from a 7-0 deficit through seven innings to win in extras and take a playoff spot, two of the worst collapses in September history … well, things got pretty awesome this season.

Of course, the Rays were the first to be knocked out of the ALDS (despite hating them in the regular season, I was quite heartbroken), but it was a great story while it lasted, and Evan Longoria’s walk-off home run isn’t going to be easily forgotten. Nor is the Dan Johnson tying shot that hit a dude in the nuts. Oh yeah.

Coming up sometime: more baseball talk like the 2012 season, free agent freakouts, Yu Darvish, Adam Lind, you know — all the good stuff. Stay tuned.

Edit: Joanna over at Hum and Chuck has written a nice little post about the end of the season and the Red Sox collapse, so go check it out here.

More new beginnings!

I’ve tried to re-start my blog quite a few times in recent weeks, but it has never really come to fruition. This time I’m not going to worry about the fact that I haven’t finished making it look nice (a big obstacle!) and just write about stuff. So hello.

Some of you may have found your way over from my previous blog, which is perplexingly still on the internet (should disappear soon, with luck, although I may bring some of the archived posts into this one). If you did, thanks … it’s good to have familiar folk hanging about.

If you’re brand-new, welcome. I blog for fun, and not really for any kind of promotional end or anything. If you’re familiar with my Twitter it’ll be a similar distribution: tech, sports, arts, politics. I like talking about stuff and I like discussion, so comments are awesome.

First, though, I start a new job tomorrow (which seems like a nice time to also be resuming blogging). And so, song of the day:

See you ’round here soon!